All eyes to be on three States going for polls this year

The winning horse of BJP was stopped in Karnataka this year. The Congress had played a key role in stopping the winning sphere of Prime Minister Narendra Modi in Karnataka by sacrificing power and giving a chance to the regional party, Janata Dal (Secular). For a political party, sacrificing power is a too big decision, but the Congress could take it to checkmate Narendra Modi, ahead of the 2019 general election.

Narendra Modi had won several States expanding his party’s base state after the state and emerging as strongest leader of the country after Indira Gandhi and Rajiv Gandhi. The country could not have a similar leader after Rahul Gandhi’s death in 1991 and it took 25 years to have Narendra Modi with similar leadership. But, there was disapproval for his leadership across the States, for the reason Narendra Modi’s failures like demonetisation and Goods and Services Tax (GST), which have destroyed the country’s economy and trade. The undemocratic approach that Narenra Modi adopted to win the States was also objected by the people and finally it was stopped at Karnataka with a great unity. It was the Congress which could stop Narendra Modi’s victory by giving the power to the junior player, Janata Dal (Secular) to form the government.

Now, the game did not stop here. There are three more states lined up for elections this year. The present term of the Assemblies of Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh, is to end in January 2019. Hence elections to these Assemblies are to be held in December this year. Interestingly, the BJP is in power in the three States and Narendra Modi would have to retain the power at any cost if he wanted to win the 2019 elections and have another term.

There is Karnataka effect on the nation with the regional parties coming together. The Congress and the Left parties are ready for a compromise to defeat Narendra Modi in the next round. They have the regional parties coming together ahead of the next round of elections and it started in Karnataka.

Ironically, there are no regional parties in any of these States and the Congress is weak here. The presence of Left parties too is limited. So is the case with the Bahujan Samaj Party of Mayawati. It should be the combined effort of the Congress, Left and other parties which is required to defeat the BJP in the three States. The Congress would have more stakes here if the non-BJP parties decide to continue their victory in the three northern States.

The Bahujan Samaj Party, the splinter groups of the Janata Dal are present here. The Janata Dal (United) of Bihar Chief Minister Nitish Kumar, Lok Janasakthi party of Ram Vilas Paswan and Indian National Lok Dal of late Devi Lal, are present in Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh, while Bahujan Samaj Party of Mayawati is present in all the three States of Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan and Chhattisgarh. With the presence of Janata Dal or Lok Dal limited and the BSP extended to all the three States, the anti-BJP or anti-Modi forces may have to work hard to emerge as strong forces to win the 2018 elections. Mayawati, whose party has presence in all the three states would be having some importance in the next round of elections if the Congress takes the lead. If one goes by the way the Congress leaders, Sonia Gandhi and Rahul Gandhi, spending more time with Mayawati at Bengaluru indicates that the iron lady of Uttar Pradesh will be having some importance in uniting the non-BJP parties in the three States. She is set to play key role in keeping the Congress, Left and the factions of the Janata Dal together and checkmate the BJP as they have done in Karnataka.

 

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